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Brokerages, mutual funds and banks are all harping about investment risk right now. Does anyone get tired of this three year too late emphasis? Why is this happening? Because so many investors do not really understand the flucuations in the stock market and feel they were "burned". Now the financial gurus (like Suze) and the industry is feeding on folk's anxiety over their IRAs and their fear of how little they really know about investing. Look at the ads in all the financial magazines and the TV ads by Merrill, Schwab, Fidelity. The industry can't sell success right now so they are hucksters for fear.
A prediction: Many folks will sit on the sidelines with "guarentees" and "insured" CDs or perhaps utility stocks. They are overreacting to 2+ negative years. Perhaps two years from now they will panic again when they realize they missed out on equity appreciation. It is amazing how many folks get the buy-low, sell-high confused. The short term penache of Ibonds is just another manifestation of this cycle.
An Uncle Lou style investor does not fret over these cycles. They come and go. You can't accurately predict them. I can't, Lou can't, you can't. The stock market cycles, the economy cycles, political styles come and go. When it comes to investing, ignoring some of these and sticking to fundamentals has some merit. Think long term and stay with a solid plan.
I agree with much of what you're saying here. However, I'd like to add a few points.
Suze Orman (I believe you're referring to her) is not feeding off of ppls anxiety. She is offering the same advice she always has. Max-out employer-sponsored 401k/403b contributions. Make debt-elimination a priority. If you have more credit card debt than you can pay off right now at this moment, you're in serious credit card debt trouble. Invest using dollar-cost averaging, and don't try to time the market. If you invest in individual stocks, look at the fundamentals. I'm a big fan of value investing, as well as investing in value-stocks where the companies have the potential and proven record of growth (a good example is Pre-Paid Legal....stock has stagnated since inception, but companies has grown for many quarters in a row now, is greatly undervalued, and has room for much more growth).
I believe that too much emphasis has been placed on "safe investments", particularly given the current situation. The time to diversify away from the stock-market was when it was outrageously high -- particularly the Nasdaq tech-stocks. That isn't really market timing -- that's just saying, these stocks are selling with outrageous P/E's, and their PEG's can't match them, so it's absurd. I never understood the dot-com boom. The idea of making money by giving stuff away for free...something about it, just doesn't click with me. Maybe I'm too stupid to understand it.
Right now is a time to start investing more heavily in stocks -- at least 50%. Fundamental's should definately be what's telling you what stocks, and mutual funds, to buy. Technical analysis (which is dangerously close to market-timing) should tell you when to buy (e.g., maybe a good time is after a bogus lawsuit is announced, or a strike, and the stock sinks). The problem is most people are afraid to buy stocks during such events, when they are in fact the best buys. Then the other problem is some people want to time it out perfectly -- buy when the stock is at rock-bottom. Not possible.
I-Bonds are not necessarily bad. In fact, they are agood thing. I see them as a good alternative to keeping money in the bank or a money-market/CD, if you want to have a continuous amount of money in cash, and can contribute to them regularly, and start taking out of them after 5-years (or at least long enough after 1 year to compensate for inflation).