Andy the Actuary Posted October 27, 2010 Posted October 27, 2010 A client sent me an employee census of a Company they just acquired. The census had 17 employees none of whose last names began with the letters A-G. The odds against this are a little over 200 to 1. The material provided and the opinions expressed in this post are for general informational purposes only and should not be used or relied upon as the basis for any action or inaction. You should obtain appropriate tax, legal, or other professional advice.
GMK Posted October 27, 2010 Posted October 27, 2010 That is interesting. Do the odds include a weighting for the likelihood of last names beginning with a given letter? For example, one might expect that A is more likely than, say Q. BTW, we have most of the B's, so that explains that letter.
Tom Poje Posted October 27, 2010 Posted October 27, 2010 of course that all depends, stats can lie. for instance, there is a Bobby Jones Golf Tourney where only those named Bobby Jones can enter. Do you say, wow, 100% of the golfers all with the same name. what are the odds of that? or as one comic strip had years ago wow, Lou Gehrig died of Lou Gehrig's disease. what a coincidence.
Guest bobolink Posted October 27, 2010 Posted October 27, 2010 OT, but ... have you read where Lou Gerhig didn't have Lou Gerhig's disease? The high number of veterans with brain injuries and pro football players developing the disease is prompting researchers to conclude that stuff from the brain gets into the spinal cord due to traumatic brain injury and causes neurological deterioration that looks like Lou Gerhig's disease but does not have a genetic cause.
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