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An Actuarial Perspective on the 2014 Social Security Trustees Report (PDF)
American Academy of Actuaries Link to more items from this source
Oct. 21, 2014

"The total change in the projected tenth-year trust fund ratio was a decline of 18 percentage points. The majority of the expected decline is caused by moving the Short-Range Estimate period one year forward. Changes to the OASI trust fund ratios ... : [1] Moving the Short-Range Estimate period forward one year (reduced ratio by 15 percentage points); [2] Changes in economic data and assumptions (reduced ratio by 2 percentage points); and [3] Methodology changes (reduced ratio by 1 percentage point)."

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