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Will Deflation Decimate Pensions?
Pension Pulse Link to more items from this source
[Opinion]
Feb. 4, 2015
"[D]eclining rates are the primary driver of pension liabilities, especially when rates are at historic lows.... [T]he duration of liabilities is a lot higher than duration of assets which means when rates are ultra low, a decline in bond yields disproportionately impacts pension deficits. But wait, won't the Fed save the day by hiking interest rates later this year? ... [If] it does make such a monumental mistake, it will bring about an epochal deflationary crisis, which means rates will go lower and stay low for a prolonged period, ensuring the destruction of many underfunded public and private pensions."

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