Defined Benefit Combo Cash Balance Compliance Consultant Loren D. Stark Company (LDSCO)
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Compass
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Regional Vice President of Sales The Retirement Plan Company
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AimPoint Pension
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Bates & Company, Inc.
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Loan & Distribution Specialist AimPoint Pension
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Fat Tails In Monte Carlo Analysis vs Safe Withdrawal Rates
Nerd's Eye View July 10, 2017
"[This article] analyzes Monte Carlo projection scenarios relative to actual historical scenarios, to compare which does a better job of evaluating sequence of return risk and the potential for an 'unexpected' bear market ... and finds that in reality, Monte Carlo projections of a long-term retirement plan using typical return and standard deviation assumptions are actually far more extreme than real-world historical market scenarios have ever been!"
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