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Medicare's Financial Condition: Beyond Actuarial Balance (PDF)
American Academy of Actuaries Link to more items from this source
July 20, 2017

"The projected [hospital insurance (HI)] deficit over the next 75 years is 0.64 percent of taxable payroll. Eliminating this deficit would require an immediate 22 percent increase in standard payroll taxes or an immediate 14 percent reduction in expenditures -- or some combination of the two. Delaying action would require more severe changes in the future."

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