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CBO Report: Repealing the Individual Health Insurance Mandate -- An Updated Estimate (PDF)
Congressional Budget Office [CBO] Nov. 9, 2017
"The analysis underlying this estimate incorporates revised projections of enrollment in health insurance, premiums, and other factors ... CBO and JCT estimate that repealing that mandate starting in 2019 -- and making no other changes to current law -- would have the following effects: [1] Federal budget deficits would be reduced by about $338 billion between 2018 and 2027. [2] The number of people with health insurance would decrease by 4 million in 2019 and 13 million in 2027.... [3] Nongroup insurance markets would continue to be stable in almost all areas of the country throughout the coming decade. [4] Average premiums in the nongroup market would increase by about 10 percent in most years of the decade[.]"
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