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CBO Report: Repealing the Individual Health Insurance Mandate -- An Updated Estimate (PDF)
Congressional Budget Office [CBO] Link to more items from this source
Nov. 9, 2017
"The analysis underlying this estimate incorporates revised projections of enrollment in health insurance, premiums, and other factors ... CBO and JCT estimate that repealing that mandate starting in 2019 -- and making no other changes to current law -- would have the following effects: [1] Federal budget deficits would be reduced by about $338 billion between 2018 and 2027. [2] The number of people with health insurance would decrease by 4 million in 2019 and 13 million in 2027.... [3] Nongroup insurance markets would continue to be stable in almost all areas of the country throughout the coming decade. [4] Average premiums in the nongroup market would increase by about 10 percent in most years of the decade[.]"

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