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Blip Theory: The Downfall of 401(k) Outcome Theory
Benefits and Compensation with John Lowell 
[Opinion] Jan. 17, 2014
"[In] order to get the best outcomes, participants should begin saving at the beginning of their working career, increase the percentage of their pay that they save over time and convert their account balance (one way or another) to an inflation-adjusted annuity for longevity protection. That's great. And, when a smart person models what will happen if a young adult follows this guidance, that person will always be destined to have a highly prosperous retirement. But, it seems that very few people ... are actually on target to have that very prosperous retirement. Why not? What happened?"
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