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Assessing the Risk of Fiscal Distress for Public Pensions: A Stress Test Analysis of 10 State Funds (PDF)
The Pew Charitable Trusts 
June 1, 2018
147 pages. "This paper summarizes the results of a stress test simulation analysis on the largest government pension plans in 10 states under different economic scenarios and assumptions for policymaker behavior.... [S]tates with well-funded pension systems have achieved this result through a combination of fiscal discipline and adherence to policies specifically designed to manage the impact of market volatility in low-return scenarios."
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