"The projected probabilities of death before NRA have decreased between the 1966 and 1999 birth cohorts, reflecting in part the actual improvement in mortality experience between 1986 and 2019. The projected probability of becoming disabled before NRA has decreased for insured men between the 1966 and 1999 birth cohorts, but has increased for insured women. For the 1999 birth cohort, we project that the probability of surviving from age 20 to NRA without ever being disabled is 65 percent for males and 69 percent for females. Comparable probabilities projected for the 1966 birth cohort are 58 percent for males and 70 percent for females."  MORE >>