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Safe Withdrawal Rates: How Far We Have Come in 18 Years!
ValueWalk
[Opinion] Oct. 20, 2020 "The error in the studies that gave rise to the 4 percent rule is that they do not take valuations into consideration. Robert Shiller's Nobel-prize-winning research shows that the market is NOT efficient, that investors are in fact highly emotional and often set stock prices far above or far below their true value. So risk is not constant but variable and the safe withdrawal rate is not always 4 percent but a number that ranges from 1.6 percent when stock prices are insanely high to 9.0 percent when stock prices are insanely low." |
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