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Insurer Safety in Pension Risk Transfer: Analysis of NISA's Proposed Use of Credit Spreads
Agilis
[Opinion] Dec. 6, 2023 "[1] Policyholder losses incurred due to insurer failure are expected to be very low, even before allowing for the presence of state guaranty systems.... [2] The credit risk priced into bonds issued by insurers is not equivalent to expected policyholder losses.... [3] NISA's approach does not allow for the substantial additional protection provided by separate accounts and by the State Guaranty Association system.... [4] Plan sponsor failure is generally much more likely than that of a well rated insurance company.... [5] Credit spreads on Funding Agreement Backed Notes have limited reliability as a metric." |
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