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Ditch Monte Carlo Modeling and Embrace the Actuarial Approach
Ken Steiner, FSA Retired 
[Opinion] Aug. 24, 2025 "Monte Carlo models touted by financial advisors are good one-and-done projection models that can show ranges and probabilities of future results based on assumptions about the future. However, these stochastic models don't predict the future any better than deterministic models and, more importantly, they generally don't provide a process for changing your plan when the future turns out to be different than assumed." MORE >> |
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