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Literature Review of Long-Term Mortality Projections in Relation to the OASDI Trust Funds (PDF)
U.S. Social Security Administration [SSA]
Oct. 5, 2005
15 pages. Excerpt: This article reviews a range of predictions about long-term mortality improvement and assesses where the Trustees' 75-year mortality projection falls within this range. In general, the predictions of future mortality declines in the 2004 Social Security Trustees Report tend to be in the mainstream of professional actuarial and international official government opinion and to be lower than the majority of the small group of demographers who produce comparable estimates.
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