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Our Coming Deficits Are Driven by Old People, Not Health Inflation
The Washington Post; subscription may be required 
[Opinion] Mar. 20, 2013
"You've heard ... that our long-term deficits are almost entirely driven by health-care costs. That's true over the next 50, 60, 70 years, which is, absurdly, the time frame people often talk in. But over the next 20 years, it's not quite right. A more accurate way to put it would be that in the coming decades, new spending is almost entirely driven by health-care programs. But what's really driving the spending in those programs is the aging of the population, not the rise in health-care costs."
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