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Disaster Ahead for Retiree Health Care! The Breathless World of the New Dismal Scientists (PDF)
The Century Foundation 
[Opinion] May 25, 2005
7 pages. Excerpt: [C]laims by [the] New Dismal Scientists (NDS) of a 'generational crisis' are almost entirely bogus. This brief criticizes the doomsday projections of the NDS, exploring why: the implicit moral/ethical foundation for such arguments is ad hoc and unconvincing; super-long-run projections are too sensitive to assumptions to be useful; and how, if the NDS' health care cost assumptions hold, the problem will not be generational.
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