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ESOPs and the Law of Unintended Results
The Beyster Institute, UC San Diego 
[Opinion] June 4, 2007
Excerpt: [P]erhaps 75 percent of all outcomes are unintended. And, more important, an unintended result is far more likely to be negative than positive. And, even more important, that the negative effect of an unintended result will be greater by a significant factor than the positive effect of a planned one.
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